Knoxville Real Estate and Community News

May 30, 2023

Knoxville Area home sales in April 2023

Market Pulse

May 2023

  • Home sales in the Knoxville Area increased in April – up 8.0% from the previous month but down 8.9% from a year ago. Overall, home sales were down 17.5% in the first quarter of 2023.
  • Apartment rents in Knoxville were up 10.7% from the previous year in April 2023, compared to 3.2% growth nationally.
  • In the first quarter of 2023, home prices across the Knoxville metro area increased 6.1% from the previous year compared to 4.3% growth nationally, according to the FHFA House Price Index.
  • Knoxville's economy grew at nearly twice the pace of the U.S. economy in 2022, according to KAAR analysis.
  • New listings in April were down more than 20% year-over-year across the Knoxville metro area, according to KAAR analysis of realtor.com data.
  • KAAR released its 2023 State of Housing Report this month. The signature report is published annually and provides a comprehensive analysis of East Tennessee's housing landscape using the latest available data.

Reader's Note: All real estate is local. Pay attention to local trends and be careful when you read national news as it doesn't necessarily reflect what's currently happening in East Tennessee.

Home Sales Report

 

  • Knoxville Area home sales decreased in April — down 14.5% from the previous month and down 23.3% from a year ago.
  • Median home sales price was $325,000 in April — unchanged from the previous month and down 0.3% from the previous year. However, the median price per SqFt of sold homes was up 3.7% from the previous year.
  • Total housing inventory continued to increase – up 43% from a year ago but still approximately 62% below pre-pandemic levels.
  • Half of the homes sold were under contract in 9 days or less, down from 16 days in the previous month.
  • 30% of homes sold for more than the asking price, up from 24% the previous month, with 15.5% selling for at least $10,000 over asking and 5% selling for at least $25,000 over asking.
  • New construction represented 10.5% of total home sales.

 

KAAR reports home sales patterns using a seasonally adjusted annualized rate (SAAR), an adjusted rate that takes into account typical seasonal fluctuations in data and is expressed as an annual total. Comparing month-over-month housing market data using this method provides a more accurate depiction of home sales.

What you need to know: After consecutive months of accelerating home prices, the median sale price in April declined from the previous year. However, the median price per Sq Ft remained 3.7% above 2022 levels – meaning the actual value of homes after adjusting for size still increased over the past year.

 

Overall, housing market activity declined considerably in April as a lack of inventory and higher mortgage rates continue to weigh heavily on demand, pushing home sales to their lowest level since November 2022. As of April, new listings were down more than 20% from the previous year – a trend that is likely to (1) persist into the summer months and (2) keep home sales relatively low.

Access the Report

The Knoxville economy grew at nearly twice the pace of the U.S. economy in 2022, according to analysis from KAAR's 2023 State of Housing Report.

 

From 2015 to 2019, Knoxville’s inflation-adjusted gross domestic product (real GDP) grew at an average annual rate of 2.1%. After a decline in 2020 as a result of the pandemic, Knoxville's real GDP grew 9.3% in 2021 and 4.0% in 2022 – outpacing growth of 5.9% (2021) and 2.1% (2022) nationally.

Although Knoxville’s fast-growing economy is expected to moderate in 2023, competitive real estate prices and a relatively low cost of doing business suggest the region will continue to outpace the U.S. in addition to many of its in-state peers.

 

After consecutive years of above-average growth, Knoxville’s inflation-adjusted gross domestic product (real GDP) is projected to grow by 1.1% in 2023 and 2.6% in 2024. By comparison, real GDP in Tennessee is expected to grow 0.7% in 2023 and 1.6% in 2024, while U.S. real GDP is forecasted to contract 0.2% in 2023 before growing 1.3% in 2024, according to estimates from the Boyd Center for Business and Economic Research.

Housing inventory rose modestly over the past month. As of the end of May, active listings are up around 45% from the previous year but remain well below their peak in November 2022. For-sale inventory remains well below pre-pandemic levels.

The spring selling season is a little sluggish this year as fewer people are choosing to list their homes for sale, keeping housing inventory suppressed and competition high.

 

As outlined in KAAR's 2023 State of Housing Report, more than 8 in 10 homeowners with a mortgage are locked in with an interest rate below 5% – well below prevailing rates – creating a powerful financial incentive for people to stay in their current home, or retain their current residence as an investment rental property if and when they do decide to move.

Moreover, such a low inventory environment is to some degree a self-reinforcing cycle: existing homeowners are hesitant to sell their homes due to the uncertainty of finding a new one.

 

All in all, new listings have been down more than 20% year-over-year throughout the early months of 2023, defying the typical seasonal trend of increased new listings during the spring. As of writing, there are few indications new listings – and thus available inventory – will rise significantly in the near future.

 

Mortgage Rates Continue to Increase

 

Mortgage rates were steady throughout May, according to Freddie Mac's Primary Mortgage Market Survey. The average 30-year fixed mortgage rate (30Y FRM) was 6.57% for the week ending May 25, nearly 1.5 percentage points higher than a year ago.

Why It Matters: Mortgage rates are still nearly 1.5 percentage points higher than this time last year, and there are few indications that rates will fall substantially in the near term – partly because inflation remains stubbornly high and well above the Federal Reserve's 2% target rate.

 

As of mid-May, the required monthly principal and interest payment for the median-priced listing is up more than $300 from the beginning of the year – a trend that is keeping home buyers and sellers on the sidelines. Until affordability conditions improve (i.e. until mortgage rates fall), home sales are likely to stay fairly sluggish.

The current housing affordability crisis is a product of many structural trends, or market conditions that aren't easily shifted in the span of one or two years.

 

One example is the mismatch between the size of existing homes and the number of people living in them. According to KAAR analysis of U.S. Census data, nearly one-third (1/3) of all households in Knox County are made up of a single person; however, only one-fifth (1/5) of the housing stock are studio and one-bedroom units. To look at it another way, two-thirds of the households have two or fewer people, but nearly two-thirds of housing units in the region have three or more bedrooms.

As a result, households with just one or two people must spend more on a relatively large home, not because they want the extra space but because smaller, more affordable options are simply harder to find.

 

This leads to an important question: if there is so much pent-up demand for smaller homes, why aren't we building more of them? In addition to rising material and labor costs, government-imposed zoning and land use regulations oftentimes make building smaller homes prohibitively expensive, if not illegal altogether.

 

For example, many jurisdictions regulate the minimum lot size per housing unit or maximum floorspace-to-lot-size ratio for new residential development. These regulations are often supported by existing homeowners and residents as a means to "maintain the character" of the neighborhood. In practice, however, such regulations exclude lower-income households who could only afford homes that are smaller than what is allowed.

 

In other words, it's not that smaller (and thus more affordable) homes are strictly illegal; rather, zoning regulations and building codes in many areas effectively make it difficult or impossible to build smaller homes – and East Tennessee is no exception.

 

So, yes, there are a lot of empty bedrooms out there.

 

WHAT WE'RE READING

A Debt-Ceiling Crisis Would Hit the Housing Market Like a Hurricane

Forbes | May 18, 2023

A Problem for the Housing Market: People Won't Quit Their Cheap Mortgages

Washington Post | March 14, 2023

The Home Buyer's Quandary: Nobody's Selling

Wall Street Journal | May 10, 2023

Coastal Cities Priced Out Low-Wage Workers. Now College Graduates Are Leaving, Too.

New York Times | May 13, 2023

5 Reasons Buying a Knoxville Home in 2023 Won't Get Cheaper or Easier

Knox News | May 22, 2023

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Market Pulse is a newsletter providing a rundown of local news and the

latest housing and economic research and analysis in the Knoxville Area.

Posted in Buying a Home
May 30, 2023

17,000 short-term rentals in Gatlinburg and Pigeon Forge

For Immediate Release | Vacation Home Sales Surge | More Buyers See Opportunity in Vacation Homes: Some buyers are calling the vacation-home market the “perfect storm, Questions? Speak with Steve Direct/Text 865-964-9476 REAL ESTATE FOR BUYERS / SELLERS. https://knoxmoves.realgeeks.com/gatlinburg-and-pigeon-forge-area-almost-17000-rental-units/

Data shows more than 17,000 short-term rentals in Gatlinburg and Pigeon Forge; 2,000 in Knoxville

Properties that had at least one day booked or available during April 2023 were included in the map, according to AirDNA.

People traveling to East Tennessee likely stayed in the Gatlinburg or Pigeon Forge area, according to AirDNA.

The company tracks vacation rentals and analyzes data about occupancy rates, pricing and other kinds of data points. They found that in April 2023, there were just over 2,000 available short-term rental units in Knoxville. The properties included on the map had at least a day booked or available during the month.

In the broader Gatlinburg and Pigeon Forge area, they found there were almost 17,000 rental units. The company also said more than half of these units were cabins.

Airbnb, a popular short-term rental company, said they believed more people went to Gatlinburg and Pigeon Forge for Memorial Day because of the weather and the number of available summer activities.

"I just can't imagine a better place to be right here, right now, than in East Tennessee. I mean, the weather's perfect. You're up in the mountains, grills everywhere. I mean, it's just explosive popularity," said Ben Breit, a spokesperson for Airbnb.

They expect to see another spike in short-term rentals during football season in East Tennessee.

Posted in Buying a Home
May 26, 2023

ONE+ by Rocket Mortgage® Offers 1% Down Payments!

ONE+ Benefits

Increasing interest rates, housing prices and inflation have made many pause their home search. Not anymore. If you’re in a similar situation, we can help you get into your new home – without a hefty down payment.

We know that the down payment is one of the biggest obstacles home buyers face when they can otherwise afford a mortgage payment. ONE+ allows you to get a mortgage by putting as little as 1% down, combined with a 2% grant from Rocket Mortgage, you start with 3% equity and mortgage insurance is not charged to you.

Who is eligible?

ONE+ by Rocket Mortgage is for eligible first-time home buyers and repeat home buyers who make less than or equal to 80% of the area median income (AMI) of the location they’re buying in, Los Angeles County being $78,320 with credit scores of 620 or better, on single-unit, primary residence only.

It’s only available for purchase loans with a maximum loan amount of $350,000 and can’t be combined with other promotions although temporary rate buydown options are available if they come from the builder or agent.

Are there other low down payment options if I don’t qualify for this program?

There are several other low down payment options that may be available to you depending on your situation. For example, if you need to qualify with a higher income, you can still put as little as 3% down on a conventional loan as a first-time home buyer. If your credit score is 580 or better, you can put 3.5% down for an FHA loan.

If you're thinking of buying want to get connected to one of my preferred lenders w/ Rocket Mortgage, then contact me today! 📲 Ben Dueweke Banker Rocket Mortgage T (313) 546-2193 C (586) 945-6591 F (855) 455-2531 NMLS# 1332763

Posted in Buying a Home
May 22, 2023

2023 Knoxville State of Housing Report

Home price growth is decelerating but remains above the historic average. Home prices in the Knoxville metropolitan area rose 15.9% from the previous year in Q4 2022, according to the FHFA House Price Index (HPI).

• Rent growth remains high, although rent increases have moderated in recent weeks, with rents in the Knoxville metropolitan area up 14.06% from the previous year in Q4 2022 – outpacing the rent growth of 6.60% nationally during the same period.

• After a record-breaking year in 2021, home sales declined 9% year-over-year in 2022. The deceleration in home sales will likely continue this year, with home sales forecasted to decline between 10% and 12% in 2023.

• Despite the expected decline in home sales due to deteriorating affordability conditions, a lack of inventory continues to place upward pressure on prices, with home prices forecasted to increase between 3% and 5% in 2023.

• Knoxville’s rental market is poised to experience moderate growth in 2023, with rents forecasted to grow around 4% next year. • After reaching an all-time high of 98.86% in Q4 2021, the rental occupancy rate is forecasted to decline to an average of 96.5% in 2023.

CLICK HERE to Read the Complete Report

Posted in Buying a Home
May 20, 2023

5 Unwritten Etiquette Rules Home Buyers Might Not Even Realize Are a Big deal

JustListedKnoxville.com 5 Unwritten Etiquette Rules Home Buyers Might Not Even Realize Are a Big deal If you're looking to buy a home, you're probably eager and excited. That's fine, but just keep in mind that in this heightened emotional state, it's easy to get swept up in the moment and behave, well, not perfectly.
This can lead to trouble since, just like anything else, buying a home comes with its own set of rules. Some may be fairly obvious since they're outlined in all that real estate paperwork you'll soon be signing. But some of these rules are the unwritten, etiquette-based kind. And if you break 'em, it could still stop a real estate deal in its tracks.
Worried you might not be aware of all the things you might do that could inadvertently rub home sellers or real estate agents the wrong way? Then heed these five etiquette rules that many homebuyers might all too easily overlook.
Rule 1: See a house online you love? Don't call the listing agent.
You're not going to get a better deal by going directly to the listing agent, they represent the seller and are just trying to get the seller the best price.
As buyers agents, JustListedKnoxville.com provides buyers with the most accurate, up-to-date data on homes in their area, access to Zillow, Homes, Amazon, Nextdoor, Trulia and Realtors alongside MLS Listed Homes.
Rule 2: Don't ask your agent to show you homes until you sign a buyer-broker agreement.
A buyer-broker agreement is a contract that defines the relationship between the buyer (that's you) and your real estate agent. The agreement is good for both parties since it outlines exactly what services the broker is going to provide.  Remember that buyer's agents are only paid if they close a deal—they aren't paid for their time. 
Rule 3: Don't make an offer without mortgage pre-approval
A mortgage pre-approval is a letter from a lender saying it will provide you with financing to buy a home up to a certain loan amount. It makes everyone's lives easier since it provides proof of how much home you can afford to buyers and agents—and that you can put your money where your mouth is with an offer. Without it, your offer is an empty promise.
Rule 4: Don't be late to home showings—or bail entirely
If you have an appointment with your agent to view a home, treat it like a priority. If you're going to be late or can't make it, call your agent and let him know.
Rule 5: Don't pretend you're ready to buy if you know you're really not
This one might sound like a no-brainer, but it's such a big part of real estate etiquette it's worth driving home: Don't pretend that you're ready to buy if you aren't.

Your Preferred Realtors® of Choice 2022  Michael Allen 865-803-3558 Direct/Text  Broker/ REALTOR  …. Steve Albin 865-964-9476 Direct/Text REALTOR/Broker

https://www.knoxmoves.com/

New Listings Today and Every Day updated every 15 minutes

 

Posted in Buying a Home
May 16, 2023

Mortgage questions that buyers ask us

Obtaining a mortgage is a complex process that can be challenging for even the most sophisticated buyer.

 Here are some answers to mortgage questions that buyers ask us.

 A residential mortgage is a long-term loan (usually 15 or 30 years in length) provided by a bank, credit union, or other financial institution secured by the property the buyer is purchasing. If the buyer defaults (fails to make payments in a timely fashion), the lender may start foreclosure proceedings to force payment of the debt through the sale of the property.

 What are the most common types of mortgages?

There are wide variety of loans available to borrowers. Here’s a list you can share with your buyers:

 

Government-backed loans

These include Federal Housing Administration (FHA), Veteran’s Affairs loans (VA), and US Department of Agriculture (USDA) loans. Government backed loans offer various types of down payments, interest rates, repayment terms, and eligibility standards. 

 

Fixed-rate mortgages

Fixed-rate purchase mortgages are typically 15 or 30 years in length and the interest rate is locked for the entire term of the loan.

 

Adjustable-rate mortgages (ARMs):

The rate on ARMs fluctuates based upon changes in the index to which the ARM is based. According to BankRate.com.

 ARMs have variable interest rates which float up or down with the fed funds rate. This means if the fed funds rate goes up by a quarter of a percentage point, your ARM rate will increase as well at the next reset. However, there are caps on the amount of interest you’re on the hook for. There are three types of rate caps:

Initial adjustment cap: This is the maximum interest rate on an ARM, if the rate rises, after the fixed-rate period ends. Usually, 5 percentage points is the maximum amount.

Subsequent adjustment cap: This is the maximum rate after the initial adjustment.

Lifetime adjustment cap: This is the maximum interest rate you can be charged over the entire span of the loan.

 

Home Equity Loans (HELOCs)

A HELOC is a line of credit borrowed against the homeowner’s equity in their home. Their home equity is the difference between the appraised value of their home and their current mortgage balance. 

 

Interest only loans

In an interest only loan, none of the principal is paid down. Consequently, most interest only loans either require a balloon payment where the entire principal must be repaid at the end of the loan, or the loan shifts to being fully amortized after a period of being interest only.

 

Jumbo loans

According to Bank of America: 

A loan is considered jumbo if the amount of the mortgage exceeds loan-servicing limits set by Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac — currently $726,200 for a single-family home in all states (except Hawaii and Alaska and a few federally designated high-cost markets, where the limit is $1,089,300).

 Jumbo mortgages are available for primary residences, second or vacation homes and investment properties, and are also available in a variety of terms, including fixed-rate and adjustable-rate loans. A jumbo loan will typically have a higher interest rate, stricter underwriting rules, and require a larger down payment than a standard mortgage.

 

What are the interest rates for home mortgages?

Interest rates vary due to a wide variety of factors including the type of mortgage, the length (term) of the loan, the borrower’s credit score, as well as market conditions including the indices to which the various types of loans are based.

 What are the closing costs and fees associated with getting a mortgage?

Closing costs are the fees and expenses associated with finalizing a mortgage, including loan origination fees, appraisals, fees, title insurance, and escrow fees. They vary based upon the type of loan and the lender. As a rule of thumb, three percent of the loan amount is often a good estimate of the amount of closing costs.

 Closing costs are usually in addition to the down payment amount, although in certain situations, they may be rolled into the loan amount.

 Unlike rent, the buyer’s mortgage payment is paid at the end of the month rather than at the beginning. (For example, the payment made on July 1st is for the month of June.)

 What is the difference between pre-qualification and pre-approval for a mortgage? 

According to the CFPB, the pre-qualification letter is:

 

A document from a lender stating that the lender is tentatively willing to lend the borrower up to a certain amount. This document is based upon a certain assumptions and is not a guaranteed loan offer.

 

Rather than settling for a pre-qualification letter, buyers should always obtain pre-approval if possible. According to Bank of America:

 

Preapproval is as close as you can get to confirming your creditworthiness without having a purchase contract in place. You will complete a mortgage application and the lender will verify the information you provide. They’ll also perform a credit check. If you’re preapproved, you’ll receive a preapproval letter, which is an offer (but not a commitment) to lend you a specific amount, good for 90 days.

 

Pre-approval is a more in-depth process and provides buyers with a substantial advantage, especially if they find themselves in a multiple-offer situation.

 What are the documents I need to get a mortgage? 

The documents required for completing a mortgage application typically include proof of income (W-2 statements, tax returns, and pay stubs), credit history including current credit card balances and monthly payments, employment verification, recent bank statements, and identification (which typically includes the borrower’s residences for the last 10 years). Additional documents may be required depending on the buyer’s financial situation and the type of mortgage.

 How does the mortgage application process work? 

The mortgage application process consists of several steps: pre-qualification, pre-approval, loan application submission, underwriting, appraisal, title search, and closing. Each step involves the collection and verification of various documents and information, culminating in the final loan approval and property purchase.

 

The process can take as little as 30 days (and sometimes less) although 45-60 days is the most common. If there is a problem with the appraisal, a lien on the property, a title problem, or a different issue, loan approval can take much longer.

 

Ideally, buyers should be pre-approved for a loan prior to writing an offer on any property.

 What happens after I get approved for a mortgage? 

After being approved for a mortgage, you'll receive a loan commitment letter outlining the terms and conditions of the loan. You'll then proceed to the closing process, which involves signing the loan documents, transferring funds, and ultimately acquiring the property title.

 

Posted in Buying a Home
May 16, 2023

What to expect next from the housing market

What to expect next from the housing market

Heading into 2023, most housing analysts were on the bearish side. Among the 27 major forecasters, 23 expected national home prices to fall in 2023 under the weight of spiked mortgage rates. However, through the first few months of 2023, these bearish views haven't manifested.

CoreLogic: The real estate research firm expects U.S. home prices, as measured by the CoreLogic HPI, to rise 4.6% between March 2023 to March 2024.

Zillow: Economists at the home listing site forecast that U.S. home values, as measured by the Zillow Home Value Index, will rise 1.7% between March 2023 and March 2024.

Bank of America: Economists at the investment bank forecast that U.S. home prices will shift 0% in 2023.

Mortgage Bankers Association: The trade group's latest forecast has U.S. home prices, as measured by the FHFA US House Price Index, falling 0.6% in 2023 and another 1.4% dip in 2024.

Fannie Mae: Economists at the firm predict that U.S. home prices, as measured by the Fannie Mae HPI, will fall 1.2% in 2023 and another 2.2% dip in 2024.

Morgan Stanley: The investment bank expects U.S. home prices to fall 4% in 2023. "In November, the [Morgan Stanley] housing team published a home price forecast calling for a decline of 4% this year.

Moody's Analytics: The firm expects U.S. home prices, as measured by the Moody's Analytics Repeat Sales House Price Index, to fall 4.4% between the fourth quarter of 2022 and the fourth quarter of 2023.

Goldman Sachs: The investment bank expects U.S. home prices, as measured by Case-Shiller, to fall 6% in 2023.

KPMG: The Big Four accounting firm expects U.S. home prices, as measured by Case-Shiller, to fall 8% in 2023.

 

https://finance.yahoo. com/news/expect-next-housing-market-150946164.html

 

Posted in Buying a Home
May 10, 2023

Bias Against FHA, VA Loans Hurts Most Vulnerable Buyers

Bias Against FHA, VA Loans Hurts Most Vulnerable Buyers

May 9, 2023Working With Buyers, Working With Sellers, Financing & Credit, FHA Programs, Veterans Affairs, Residential Real Estate

By: Graham Wood https://www.nar.realtor/magazine/real-estate-news/bias-against-fha-va-loans-hurts-most-vulnerable-buyers

Sellers who refuse to accept offers from buyers with certain types of financing are denying homebuying opportunities to those who need them the most, experts say.

 

Posted in Buying a Home
May 10, 2023

How do realtors make rooms look bigger?

How do realtors make rooms look bigger?
Wide angle lenses make small rooms look bigger, which will help you tremendously when it comes to selling the home. It like a magic wand. It also creates a better sense of depth, which makes your room look more detailed. The best, beginner friendly wide angle lens to buy is between 10mm to 18mm.
Posted in Buying a Home
May 9, 2023

What moms look for when buying a home.

What moms look for when buying a home. |  JustlistedKNOXVILLE.com Open floor plans, a mud room, and an office off the main living space so parents can keep tabs on what kids are looking at online.

Traditionally, when people with children have looked to buy a new home, they were more concerned with neighborhood schools, walkability, and convenient shopping than with the actual layout of the home they’d be occupying.

Ten years ago, the only thing families were looking for was square footage and a large yard. Configuration of the home is more important now,” as people prefer open floor plans rather than separate dining and living rooms.

We see less and less formal spaces, as floor plans with separate dining rooms aren’t as preferable as a larger kitchen, often not just with one large central island, but two islands. Everything happens in the kitchen. Kids use the islands now for breakfast, lunch and dinner.

Separate home offices are out too, replaced by an office nook off the main living space so that parents can keep tabs on what kids are looking at online. You want a family office that’s very visible with a direct sightline to the kitchen.

Moms want — a large kitchen space, open floor plan, and even laundry space on the same floor with room to fold laundry so they can keep an eye on everything.

The location of the garage also counts with many moms and parents. If there are stairs to and from the garage, are you going to be willing to go up and down them carrying a child in from the car.

Moms want — lots of built-in storage in bedrooms, attics, spaces under stairs and even hidden storage behind bookshelves where you can pile toys and clothes when company comes.

As kids get older, agents say that some clients want separate living areas for kids and adults.

Young families desire to be on the same floor but as the kids get older, have the master bedroom retreat on the main floor, and have the kids have their own space, with bedrooms on the separate floor and separated so they don’t share a common wall to allow for privacy. Daniel Goldstein is a personal-finance and real-estate reporter for MarketWatch. com

Posted in Buying a Home